Stage 2 Loadshedding – South Africans might finally catch a break from Stage 2 loadshedding this week, as Eskom has announced the anticipated return of 2,730MW of generation capacity by June 29. While this could significantly ease the pressure on the national grid and reduce the need for loadshedding, the situation comes with crucial caveats. Eskom has made it clear that this improvement is conditional upon stable operations, no further breakdowns, and successful maintenance completions. This development follows weeks of unpredictable power supply, high unplanned outages, and increased demand during the colder winter period. The good news is that some critical units are returning online at Medupi, Kusile, and Kendal power stations. However, experts warn that any setbacks in this delicate recovery could quickly put the country back on the brink of Stage 2 or even higher stages of loadshedding. With the national energy crisis deeply affecting households, industries, and economic activities, this temporary relief could help stabilize operations in many sectors—provided the momentum isn’t lost. In this article, we’ll break down the key aspects of Eskom’s announcement, which power stations are returning capacity, what risks remain, and what the public can realistically expect moving forward. Let’s take a detailed look at the situation as it unfolds and what it could mean for energy reliability in the coming weeks.
Eskom’s Major Update: What We Know So Far
Eskom’s latest operational update has given South Africans a glimmer of hope. However, it’s not a done deal.
- A total of 2,730MW is expected to return to the grid by June 29.
- This could allow Eskom to keep loadshedding at Stage 1 or potentially avoid it altogether.
- The success depends on whether any further breakdowns occur in already vulnerable units.
Breakdown of Returning Capacity by Power Station
Below is a summary of which power stations are expected to return units and how much capacity will be added:
| Power Station | Unit(s) Returning | Expected Capacity (MW) | Return Date | Maintenance Status | Risk of Delay | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medupi | Unit 4 | 720 | June 25 | Completed | Low | Long-awaited return |
| Kusile | Unit 2, Unit 5 | 1,080 | June 27 | Ongoing | Medium | Dependent on repairs |
| Kendal | Unit 1 | 690 | June 29 | Nearing completion | Medium | Known for reliability |
| Lethabo | Unit 3 | 240 | June 26 | Final testing | Low | Temporary boost |
| Camden | Unit 6 | N/A | June 28 | Awaiting clearance | High | Previously unreliable |
| Tutuka | Unit 5 | N/A | June 29 | Ongoing upgrades | High | Faces frequent breakdowns |
| Arnot | Unit 2 | N/A | June 27 | Scheduled restart | Medium | Often used during crisis |
Risks That Could Derail the Recovery
While this planned return is promising, it remains heavily dependent on factors beyond just schedules.
- Eskom’s aging infrastructure is still vulnerable to unexpected breakdowns.
- Cold weather spikes demand, increasing pressure on the grid.
- Any delay in returning key units could trigger higher loadshedding levels.
Expert Warnings and Historical Trends
Past experiences and expert analysis suggest a cautious approach.
| Year | MW Promised for Return | MW Actually Returned | Resulting Loadshedding Stage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3,000 | 1,900 | Stage 3 |
| 2023 | 2,500 | 2,100 | Stage 2 |
| 2024 | 3,200 | 2,000 | Stage 4 |
What This Means for South African Households
For everyday citizens, a break from loadshedding means more than just lights—it means peace of mind.
- Reduced interruptions in daily life, work, and school.
- Better productivity for remote workers and small businesses.
- Less reliance on generators and alternative power sources.
Public Reaction and Preparedness
South Africans remain skeptical but hopeful.
- Many are still using backup systems despite the positive news.
- Businesses remain cautious, sticking to loadshedding schedules just in case.
- Public perception depends on whether these promises are fulfilled.
Energy Reserves and Backup Strategy
Eskom’s buffer levels remain thin, and that’s why caution is warranted.
- Diesel reserves for Open Cycle Gas Turbines (OCGTs) are low.
- Hydroelectric reserves are being cautiously used due to drought concerns.
- Renewable input (solar and wind) remains inconsistent during winter.
System Stability Overview
| Energy Source | Current Contribution (MW) | Reliability Score (1-5) | Usage in Emergency | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coal | 22,000 | 3.5 | Primary source | Aging infrastructure |
| Nuclear | 1,800 | 4.8 | Stable base load | Koeberg stable |
| Diesel (OCGTs) | 2,200 | 2.5 | Emergency only | Costly, limited supply |
| Hydro | 1,500 | 4.0 | Emergency balancing | Supply limited seasonally |
| Solar | 2,000 (avg) | 3.0 | Supplemental | Weather-dependent |
| Wind | 1,400 (avg) | 2.8 | Supplemental | Varies with season |
What Needs to Go Right This Week
The next 7-10 days are critical for Eskom’s success in preventing Stage 2.
- No unexpected breakdowns in returning units.
- Sufficient diesel to keep OCGTs ready.
- Efficient load balancing and demand forecasting.
Key Events to Watch
| Date | Event | Potential Impact |
|---|---|---|
| July 15 | Medupi Unit 4 final sync | Could stabilize output |
| July 17 | Kusile Unit 5 cooling phase | Might delay restart |
| July 18 | Diesel delivery window | Buffer replenishment |
| July 19 | Grid audit review | Infrastructure check |
| July 20 | Weekend consumption peak | Stress test for grid |
How the Private Sector Is Responding
Private energy players are also closely watching the situation.
- Independent power producers are offering standby support.
- Renewable energy firms have pledged small emergency inputs.
- Load curtailment agreements remain in place for large users.
Government’s Position and Emergency Measures
The Department of Mineral Resources and Energy (DMRE) issued a statement supporting Eskom’s plan, but reiterated the importance of backup contingencies.
- Emergency diesel procurement still on the table.
- Demand response programs will continue during evening peaks.
- Additional grid upgrades are being fast-tracked.
Energy-Saving Tips for the Public
Everyone can help stabilize the grid by reducing usage during peak hours.
- Avoid using multiple high-energy appliances at once.
- Switch off geysers during peak times (5–9 AM and 5–9 PM).
- Use LED lighting and energy-efficient appliances.
Should You Rely on This Recovery?
Despite the optimism, most experts advise remaining cautious.
- Keep backup solutions in place.
- Stay informed via EskomSePush and news outlets.
- Plan your days as if Stage 2 could return without warning.
| Risk Factor | Likelihood | Impact If Occurs |
|---|---|---|
| Return Delays | High | Prolonged Stage 2 |
| Diesel Shortage | Medium | Emergency only load |
| Cold Snap Weather | High | Demand spike |
| Coal Plant Failure | Medium | Unplanned outages |
Eskom Loadshedding Queries Contact
Eskom Customer Support: 08600 37566
Website: www.eskom.co.za
Email: [email protected]
Loadshedding Updates: Check MyEskom app or www.loadshedding.eskom.co.za for real-time info.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1: Is Stage 2 loadshedding officially suspended?
Not officially. Eskom has said it hopes to avoid Stage 2 this week, but this depends on everything going to plan.
Q2: When will the returning units be fully operational?
Most are scheduled to return by June 29, with staggered sync and testing phases.
Q3: Can we expect a complete end to loadshedding soon?
No. This is a short-term relief. Eskom still faces major infrastructure issues.
Q4: Will private energy companies help reduce loadshedding?
They already are, especially during peak demand. However, their contribution is limited.
Q5: What happens if the returning units face delays?
South Africa could be pushed back to Stage 2 or higher almost immediately.
Q6: How can the public help stabilize the grid?
By reducing non-essential electricity use, especially during peak periods.